The UK economy is displaying signs of resilience as it grew by 0.1% in February, prompting optimism from Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt, who sees this as a positive indication that the economy is on the path to recovery.
Hunt welcomed the news, stating, “These figures are a welcome sign that the economy is turning a corner, and we can build on this progress if we stick to our plan. Last week, our cuts to National Insurance for 29 million working people came into effect across Britain, as part of our plan to reward work and grow the economy.”
However, Labour’s shadow chancellor, Rachel Reeves, took a more critical stance, attributing Britain’s economic challenges to “14 years of Conservative economic failure,” emphasizing the need for a change in economic direction.
Despite differing opinions, economists and city experts express cautious optimism regarding the UK’s economic outlook. Richard Carter, head of fixed interest research at Quilter Cheviot, highlighted the marginal growth in February as a positive indicator that could help lift the country out of the recession that began in the second half of 2023.
Neil Birrell, chief investment officer at Premier Miton Investors, echoed this sentiment, suggesting that the modest growth in February could prevent a meaningful recession and potentially influence the Bank of England’s decision to cut rates.
Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, acknowledged the economy’s ongoing recovery but cautioned about potential challenges, including fragile consumer spending and uncertainty surrounding the general election and fiscal policies.
Despite the cautious optimism, concerns remain about the UK’s growth potential, with challenges in consumer spending, business investment, and the housing market potentially hindering economic progress.
The positive growth in February, albeit modest, provides a glimmer of hope for the UK economy’s future trajectory. As policymakers navigate these uncertain times, the focus remains on implementing measures to support economic recovery and stability.